Warning: Intel Analyst Says U.S. War Inevitable
Trump’s Ambitions Could Lead to Armed Conflict
Malcolm Nance—a decorated intelligence expert and former U.S. Navy Senior Chief Petty Officer—issued a grave warning in a detailed and concerning analysis published on March 8, 2025, regarding what he perceives as a coordinated effort by Donald Trump’s administration to annex Canada and Greenland.
Nance’s report outlines a multi-phased plan that includes political destabilization, economic warfare, and military aggression. He predicts this could result in widespread conflict, economic collapse, and the destabilization of democratic institutions throughout North America.
This article delves into Nance’s claims, providing a comprehensive examination of the potential implications of such actions for Canada, Greenland, and the global order.
The Core of Nance’s Warning
Nance’s analysis outlines what he describes as a deliberate campaign to undermine the sovereignty of Canada and Greenland, with the ultimate goal of expanding U.S. borders “from Mexico to the North Pole.” His warnings center on the following:
Political Destabilization: Trump’s administration is creating division and undermining the sovereignty of Canada and Greenland through inflammatory rhetoric, disinformation campaigns, and provocative statements.
Economic Warfare: The administration is using tariffs, trade wars, and indirect funding of fringe political groups to destabilize Canada’s economy and foster division.
Military Aggression: Nance predicts that economic and political destabilization could lay the groundwork for military action, including a surprise invasion of Greenland and Canada.
The consequences, according to Nance, would be devastating: a high-intensity conflict akin to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a possible Second American Civil War, and a breakdown of international alliances like NATO.
Political Destabilization and Rhetoric
The first stage of what Nance calls Trump’s imperialist campaign involves political destabilization. Over the last several months, Trump and his cabinet have engaged in increasingly provocative rhetoric aimed at delegitimizing Canada’s sovereignty.
Canada as the “51st State”
Trump’s mocking references to Canada as the “51st state” started during the presidential transition in late 2024.
He has repeatedly referred to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as the “Governor of the 51st State” during public and private discussions. On Truth Social, Trump posted that Canada is not a viable country without U.S. economic subsidies, suggesting that annexation would be in both nations’ interests.
This rhetoric is not limited to Trump alone. Members of his cabinet have echoed these sentiments.
For instance, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently claimed that Canada’s defense and economy are entirely dependent on the U.S., implying that annexation is inevitable.
Likewise, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem mocked Canada’s sovereignty during a public visit to a border-straddling library, sarcastically referring to Canada as “The 51st State.”
Canadian politicians and media outlets have responded with outrage. Former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau accused Trump of seeking “a total collapse of the Canadian economy to make annexation easier,” while conservative leaders who once supported Trump now decry his statements as hostile and dangerous.
Greenland's Strategic Importance
Greenland has also been a target of Trump’s destabilization campaign. Nance notes that Greenland’s vast reserves of rare earth minerals and strategic location in the Arctic make it a critical target for Trump’s imperialist ambitions.
Trump and his allies have repeatedly questioned Denmark’s sovereignty over Greenland, with Commerce Secretary Lutnick stating that Denmark has no legitimate claim to the territory.
Nance believes that these statements, coupled with a potential social media disinformation campaign, are designed to create the appearance of internal dissent in Greenland, setting the stage for U.S. interference.
Economic Warfare
The second phase of the campaign involves economic destabilization. Nance points to Trump’s imposition of sudden tariffs on Canadian goods as part of a deliberate effort to weaken Canada’s economy.
Canada in the Crosshairs
Trump recently imposed 25% tariffs on Canadian imports, triggering retaliatory tariffs from Canada and causing significant market instability. These measures erased $1.2 trillion in stock market value within days.
Nance suggests that these short-term tariff implementations are designed to test the resilience of the Canadian economy and prepare the ground for further destabilization.
Nance also warns that Trump’s administration could funnel money into fringe political groups like Wexit, which advocates for Western Canadian provinces to secede and join the U.S.
By amplifying these movements, Trump could create the illusion of widespread support for annexation.
Greenland’s Economic Vulnerability
Greenland faces similar risks. Nance predicts that Trump’s administration, with the backing of allies like Elon Musk, could launch a disinformation campaign to sway public opinion in Greenland.
The goal would be to foster internal divisions and create a pretext for U.S. intervention, ultimately giving Trump access to Greenland’s mineral wealth.
Military Aggression
The most alarming aspect of Nance’s analysis is the potential for military action. He warns that the destabilization of Greenland and Canada could serve as a prelude to invasion.
The Path to War
Nance outlines a scenario in which Trump uses the pretext of defending U.S. interests in Greenland to deploy military assets to the Arctic. This could then lead to a surprise invasion of Canada, with Trump betting on a quick victory to consolidate power.
However, Nance argues that such an invasion would provoke fierce resistance from Canada. He predicts that the conflict would devolve into a prolonged insurgency, with Canadian citizens and military forces mounting a determined defense.
The result would be a devastating, high-intensity war with significant casualties on both sides.
Global and Domestic Consequences
The consequences of such aggression would be catastrophic. Canada and Denmark, both NATO members, would invoke Article 5, compelling NATO allies to respond collectively.
This could lead to a direct confrontation between the U.S. and its European allies, plunging the world into a major international conflict.
Domestically, Nance predicts that a U.S. invasion of Canada would trigger a constitutional crisis and widespread unrest.
Many members of the U.S. Armed Forces, particularly those with personal ties to Canada, would likely refuse to follow orders, leading to mutiny and division within the military.
States opposed to the invasion could refuse to comply with federal orders, setting the stage for a Second American Civil War.
Malcolm Nance’s Expertise
Malcolm Nance’s warnings carry significant weight due to his unparalleled expertise in intelligence and counterterrorism.
As a former Senior Chief Petty Officer in the U.S. Navy, Nance spent 20 years specializing in cryptology, intelligence collection, and counterterrorism operations.
He has advised U.S. and international governments on asymmetric warfare, homeland security, and counter-radicalization strategies.
Nance is also the author of several acclaimed books on national security, including Defeating ISIS and The Plot to Hack America, and the founder of the Terror Asymmetrics Project on Strategy, Tactics, and Radical Ideologies (TAPSTRI).
His career reflects decades of experience in analyzing global conflicts and identifying emerging threats.
Conclusion: A Call to Action
Nance’s analysis serves as a stark warning about the potential for catastrophic conflict in North America. The Trump administration’s rhetoric, economic policies, and military posturing point to a dangerous agenda that threatens the sovereignty of Canada and Greenland, the stability of the global order, and the future of democracy itself.
Citizens in Canada, Greenland, and the United States must remain vigilant and informed in the face of these threats. The preservation of peace, sovereignty, and democratic values requires collective action, open dialogue, and an unwavering commitment to opposing imperial ambitions.
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Stay strong,
Samuel
Malcolm Nance isn’t one for hyperbole. When he warns that Trump is actively laying the groundwork for war, people should listen. The idea of the U.S. invading Canada and Greenland sounds like a bad satire of American hubris, but the steps he outlines—political destabilization, economic warfare, and military aggression, have played out before in history, and the consequences have always been catastrophic.
This is not some far-fetched conspiracy. Trump’s rhetoric about Canada being the “51st state” is an intentional effort to delegitimize its sovereignty, just like how Putin denied Ukraine’s right to exist before invading. The tariffs and economic destabilization? A proven strategy to weaken a country before moving in. And Greenland? It’s all about mineral wealth and controlling the Arctic.
The most terrifying part? NATO would be forced to respond. A U.S. invasion of Canada would pit America against its allies. At the same time, at home, military leaders and state governments would face an impossible choice: obey an unlawful, catastrophic order or resist the President of the United States.
This isn’t just corruption or incompetence. This is how autocrats start wars. And if Trump isn’t stopped, we all know how this story ends.
This is no surprise. Harris said so but did we listen to a woman let alone black woman. Of course not what do they know...